Have Manual Transmissions Become Obsolete?
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Marlo Dewing went shopping for a car last year with the objective to find a car with a manual transmission. To her surprise, finding one that met this requirement was not easy.

“Any car that was only available as an automatic was a deal breaker,” said Dewing, 44. “I love to drive. I want to know that I am actually driving, that I am in control of the machine.”

That made her shopping list a very short one. Only around 10 per cent of vehicles made in North America now have manual transmissions, down from 35 per cent in 1980. And that number is expected to keep shrinking, according to the consulting firm IHS Automotive.

Improvements in the function and fuel economy of automatic transmissions have essentially killed the manual in the U.S., says Jack Nerad, the senior editor of Kelley Blue Book. Some of the country’s bestselling sedans — the Toyota Camry, Nissan Altima and Ford Fusion — don’t even offer manual transmissions because so few buyers want them. Even some sporty cars, like the Jaguar F Type, come only with automatics.

Two years ago, Chrysler was burned when it assumed there would be higher demand for manual transmissions in its Dodge Dart compact car. The car sold slowly. This year, when Fiat Chrysler’s Alfa Romeo 4C sports car arrives in the U.S., it won’t offer a manual transmission.

When a manual enthusiast questioned that decision at a company event in May, Fiat Chrysler CEO Sergio Marchionne said U.S. demand for manuals is simply too limited.

“It’s going to be you and four guys. That’s my assessment of our market demand,” he said. “I’ll buy one too, but then it’s only going to be six.”

Manual transmissions — which allow the driver to select the gear — were the rule until 1939, when General Motors Co. debuted the automatic transmission in its Oldsmobile brand. Initially, automatics were much more expensive and got poorer fuel economy, so drivers looking to economize tended to stick to manuals.

But in recent years, those gaps have closed, Nerad says.

“The manual transmission has become kind of a dodo bird,” he says.

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